Build a driver-based model that translates clear business assumptions into decision-ready outputs. The emphasis is on model architecture (inputs calculations outputs), transparency of assumptions, and disciplined thinkingnot spreadsheet mechanics.
Tab 1: Assumptions
Create a dedicated assumptions sheet where all inputs are centralized and clearly labeled.
Requirements:
- All input cells clearly identified (e.g., green shading)
- Each assumption documented with a brief label (what it is and what it represents)
- Assumptions must be drivers, not output targets
Include assumptions for:
- Hardware: unit growth rates, ASP changes, discount rate assumptions, unit cost assumptions
- Software: subscription growth/starting base (as applicable), ARPS assumptions, churn rate assumptions
- Services: contract volume assumptions, ACV assumptions, renewal rate assumptions
- Any additional mix assumptions needed to drive segment or total mix shift
Note: Do not input margin targets. Gross margin should be an output that emerges from price/volume/mix and cost assumptions.
Tab 2: Revenue Model
Build the driver-based model by segment, with calculations flowing directly from the Tab 1 assumptions.
Requirements:
- Model all three NovaTech segments using segment-specific drivers:
- Hardware: units, ASP, discount %, unit cost (to compute revenue, COGS, and gross margin)
- Software: subscriptions, ARPS, churn rate (to compute revenue and churn impact)
- Services: contracts, ACV, renewal rate (to compute revenue and renewal dynamics)
- Time horizon must include:
- 20212024 historical
- 20252028 projected
- Separate inputs, calculations, and outputs clearly (structure matters)
- Calculations must be consistent across years (no hard-coded plug values in projection years)
Tab 3: Summary & Output Preview
Create a simple output summary that allows a reader to understand the model results quickly. This is an output preview to support Week 5 communicationpolish is not required yet.
Requirements:
- A summary table showing:
- Revenue by segment (Hardware/Software/Services)
- Total revenue
- Segment mix (%) and mix shift over time
- Gross margin (overall and/or by segment, as supported by your model)
- At least two charts, such as:
- Revenue by segment over time
- Revenue mix shift over time
- Gross margin trend over time
- A short narrative section with 35 insight bullets written as so-what observations (drivers + implication), not data recaps
Submission
Submit your Excel/Sheets file with all three tabs included and clearly named:
- Assumptions
- Revenue Model
- Summary & Output Preview
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